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Red120
437730.4
191840.4
516625.0
Blue112
360233.2
619326.6
522922.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121100406080140160180200120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.1
40.240.1
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End5.4
red by 7.3
33.20.3
33.133.3
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Second
30.40.1
30.130.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 3.9
26.60.2
26.526.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Third
5166
#16
25.00.1
24.724.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.7
red by 2.7
5229
#14
22.30.2
22.222.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4