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Red104
377023.9
361831.6
150225.5
Blue119
609825.7
544827.7
86222.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10978204060100120140160104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.3
32.332.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 3.8
27.70.6
26.126.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
1502
#19
25.50.4
26.325.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
6098
#32
25.70.7
23.924.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
23.90.3
24.624.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 1.9
862
#38
22.10.6
20.521.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5