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Red64
377023.9
361831.6
150225.5
Blue103
609825.7
544827.7
86222.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078120406010012014016064103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
32.031.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 3.8
27.70.1
26.826.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
1502
#19
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
6098
#32
25.70.1
24.624.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
23.90.4
24.323.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 1.9
862
#38
22.10.1
21.121.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5