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Red156
171842.0
3348.6
506816.6
Blue147
353937.8
233736.6
601319.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210850150200156147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
48.60.0
48.448.4
Auto8.5
Teleop30.6
End9.6
red by 10.8
37.80.2
37.537.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Second
42.00.0
41.841.8
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
red by 5.4
36.60.2
36.236.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Third
5068
#26
16.60.0
16.416.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 2.7
6013
#24
19.30.2
19.019.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3