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Red88
610822.4
481514.1
21747.0
Blue90
171842.0
233736.6
613614.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7577506070901008890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
47.00.6
39.840.4
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End8.3
red by 5.0
42.01.2
29.130.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
Second
6108
#21
22.40.6
15.516.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 14.2
36.61.1
28.829.9
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Third
4815
#38
14.10.7
18.719.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
red by 0.1
6136
#39DQ
14.13.0
14.417.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed