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Red76
57330.5
481514.1
611730.9
Blue77
496122.3
566223.9
481117.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001207677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
24.224.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
red by 7.0
5662
#11
23.90.7
22.623.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Second
573
#9
30.50.6
23.424.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 8.2
4961
#13
22.30.7
18.719.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End5.8
Third
4815
#38
14.10.6
19.319.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 3.8
4811
#16
17.90.7
14.915.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed