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Red60
565016.8
171842.0
609916.9
Blue99
566223.9
611730.9
3348.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56931506099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.0
30.330.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
blue by 6.7
33
#1
48.61.0
39.340.2
Auto8.5
Teleop30.6
End9.6
Second
6099
#29
16.90.0
13.413.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 14.0
30.91.0
22.523.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
Third
5650
#36
16.80.0
16.316.3
Auto1.1
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 7.1
5662
#11
23.91.0
22.923.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned