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Red58
339823.5
555517.3
601319.3
Blue87
21747.0
523913.6
609916.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51670204060801001205887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3398
#31
23.50.4
22.222.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 23.5
217
#4
47.01.3
38.940.2
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End8.3
Second
6013
#24
19.30.7
12.813.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 2.4
6099
#29
16.91.3
13.714.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Third
5555
#32
17.30.4
16.717.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End3.4
red by 3.7
5239
#30
13.61.3
10.111.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed