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Red56
152813.5
481024.9
259112.5
Blue105
86226.3
171842.0
353937.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429605015056105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#10
24.90.5
21.421.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.5
blue by 17.1
42.01.3
31.432.7
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
Second
1528
#25
13.50.8
15.416.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
blue by 24.3
37.81.3
29.731.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Third
2591
#33
12.50.5
12.012.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 13.8
862
#20
26.31.3
24.025.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed