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Red119
171842.0
612025.4
611730.9
Blue54
353937.8
500817.7
561918.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87590204010012014016011954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.6
32.734.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
red by 4.2
37.80.5
31.130.6
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Second
30.91.6
25.527.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End5.9
red by 12.7
5619
#27
18.30.5
14.213.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Third
6120
#14
25.41.6
22.223.8
Auto2.7
Teleop17.3
End5.5
red by 7.7
5008
#23
17.70.8
16.215.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed