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Red47
506514.9
566223.9
523913.6
Blue66
259112.5
605720.6
500817.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060704766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5662
#11
23.90.6
22.922.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End3.1
red by 3.3
6057
#19
20.61.9
20.522.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Second
5065
#37
14.90.9
12.711.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 2.8
5008
#23
17.71.9
13.515.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
5239
#30
13.60.6
11.010.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 1.2
2591
#33
12.51.3
12.613.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed