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Red120
91030.6
57330.5
353937.8
Blue52
233736.6
481514.1
602915.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016620408012014016012052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.81.5
34.435.9
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 1.2
36.61.2
37.035.9
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Second
910
#5
30.61.5
30.431.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.6
End3.3
red by 15.1
6029
#34
15.51.4
15.914.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Third
573
#9
30.51.5
28.229.6
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 16.4
4815
#38
14.11.2
16.515.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed