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Red132
171842.0
3348.6
506816.6
Blue108
57330.5
285132.4
610822.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210350150200250132108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
48.60.1
48.348.4
Auto8.5
Teleop30.6
End9.6
red by 16.2
32.40.1
32.532.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
42.00.1
41.641.8
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End5.6
red by 11.4
573
#9
30.50.1
30.630.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Third
5068
#26
16.60.1
16.316.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 5.8
6108
#21
22.40.1
22.522.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3