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Red155
550541.7
498830.9
189625.4
Blue170
7439.1
368845.6
612823.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813450100150200155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.3
41.441.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
blue by 4.0
45.60.2
45.545.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
Second
30.90.3
30.730.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 8.1
74
#3
39.10.2
38.939.1
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
Third
1896
#16
25.40.3
25.225.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.9
red by 2.1
6128
#30
23.30.2
23.123.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1