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Red36
570921.7
607721.8
388626.2
Blue95
603325.3
612823.3
560328.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74710501001503695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3886
#27
26.22.4
26.023.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.3
blue by 2.3
5603
#17
28.51.7
23.525.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Second
6077
#36
21.82.4
24.021.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 3.6
6033
#33
25.31.7
22.624.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
5709
#29
21.72.4
21.619.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 1.6
6128
#30
23.31.7
23.825.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed