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Red89
388626.2
507227.2
523037.9
Blue71
521323.5
571416.8
587830.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90520204060801001201401608971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.5
35.836.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.2
End4.0
red by 7.0
30.91.0
26.027.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Second
5072
#14
27.20.5
22.823.2
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 3.7
5213
#25
23.51.0
16.217.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Third
3886
#27
26.20.5
23.624.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.3
red by 9.4
5714
#31
16.81.0
14.015.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed