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Red75
600518.8
598222.5
368845.6
Blue86
511025.8
609729.9
607529.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76776065708085907586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.1
39.139.1
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
red by 15.7
29.90.8
27.328.1
Auto11.6
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Second
5982
#35
22.50.1
22.622.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.7
blue by 7.3
29.70.8
23.123.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Third
6005
#24
18.80.1
12.212.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 7.1
5110
#32
25.80.8
24.124.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed