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Red61
587830.9
610020.0
550419.4
Blue119
550541.7
498830.9
523037.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631125010015061119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
29.128.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
blue by 10.7
5505
#12
41.71.1
37.738.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
Second
6100
#39
20.00.5
20.820.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 17.9
37.91.1
37.939.1
Auto8.7
Teleop25.2
End4.0
Third
5504
#40
19.40.5
18.718.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.6
End3.5
blue by 11.5
30.91.1
26.227.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned