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Red74
341430.7
607529.7
224621.9
Blue76
525720.1
560328.5
607721.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666102040801001201407476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#19
30.70.7
23.824.5
Auto13.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
red by 2.2
5603
#17
28.51.1
25.226.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Second
29.70.7
23.924.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
red by 8.0
6077
#36
21.81.1
22.123.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
2246
#20
21.90.7
15.516.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 1.8
5257
#23
20.11.1
12.513.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed