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Red90
483524.7
7439.1
612220.1
Blue80
603325.3
571416.8
388626.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7562020401001201401609080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#3
39.10.9
32.233.1
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
red by 12.9
3886
#27
26.21.2
24.125.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Second
4835
#11
24.70.9
21.722.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 0.7
6033
#33
25.31.2
23.224.3
Auto7.0
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
6122
#37
20.10.9
17.218.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 3.4
5714
#31
16.81.2
14.916.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed