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Red59
550541.7
612220.1
607417.8
Blue80
607529.7
612128.3
600518.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696402040801001201401605980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.5
33.432.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 11.9
29.71.2
24.625.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Second
6122
#37
20.10.5
18.217.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
blue by 8.2
6121
#10
28.31.2
24.625.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
6074
#38
17.80.5
14.313.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End4.1
blue by 1.0
6005
#24
18.81.2
13.414.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed