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Red84
603325.3
498830.9
521323.5
Blue97
189625.4
224621.9
368845.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658520401001208497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.8
24.124.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 14.7
45.61.1
40.141.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
Second
6033
#33
25.30.8
24.325.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 0.1
1896
#16
25.41.1
24.725.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.9
Third
5213
#25
23.50.8
17.918.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 1.6
2246
#20
21.91.1
15.016.1
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed