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Red107
560328.5
607529.7
550541.7
Blue64
611220.1
439136.0
171123.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917420406010012014016010764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.4
32.933.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 5.7
4391
#13
36.00.7
34.834.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.4
End5.9
Second
29.70.4
25.826.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
red by 6.3
1711
#22
23.40.7
24.223.5
Auto10.0
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
5603
#17
28.50.4
27.227.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End4.4
red by 8.4
6112
#34
20.10.7
15.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed