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Red125
7439.1
600518.8
550541.7
Blue69
607721.8
598222.5
439826.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8669020406010012014016012569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.72.9
33.436.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
red by 15.2
4398
#26
26.50.1
23.523.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7
Second
74
#3
39.12.9
34.137.0
Auto11.7
Teleop15.9
End11.5
red by 16.6
5982
#35
22.50.1
23.323.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
6005
#24
18.82.9
14.016.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 3.0
6077
#36
21.80.1
23.123.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed