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Red75
224621.9
483524.7
550419.4
Blue123
612128.3
507227.2
550541.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55102020408012014016075123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4835
#11
24.71.0
23.624.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 17.0
5505
#12
41.71.7
38.940.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
Second
2246
#20
21.91.0
18.219.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 6.4
6121
#10
28.31.7
27.829.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
5504
#40
19.41.0
18.319.3
Auto8.2
Teleop7.6
End3.5
blue by 7.8
5072
#14
27.21.7
25.527.2
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned