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Red82
507227.2
439826.5
511025.8
Blue85
607417.8
607529.7
9424.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846520401001201401608285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#14
27.20.2
27.227.4
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
blue by 2.5
29.71.3
28.129.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Second
4398
#26
26.50.2
25.926.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7
red by 1.7
94
#28
24.81.3
21.622.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
5110
#32
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End4.9
red by 8.0
6074
#38
17.81.3
16.417.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed