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Red102
587830.9
189625.4
550541.7
Blue107
368845.6
556227.1
612220.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008950150200102107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
41.70.4
40.741.2
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
blue by 4.0
45.61.2
43.744.9
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End5.5
Second
30.90.4
30.531.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End6.3
red by 3.9
5562
#21
27.11.2
25.827.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End3.5
Third
1896
#16
25.40.4
24.524.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.9
red by 5.3
6122
#37
20.11.2
18.920.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed