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Red81
224621.9
498830.9
609729.9
Blue69
550541.7
439826.5
171123.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6185020401001201401608169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.2
23.424.6
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 10.7
5505
#12
41.70.7
34.433.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End9.6
Second
29.91.2
26.127.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 3.5
4398
#26
26.50.7
20.720.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7
Third
2246
#20
21.91.2
13.214.5
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 1.5
1711
#22
23.40.7
23.723.1
Auto10.0
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed