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Red64
600518.8
607721.8
498830.9
Blue88
483524.7
507227.2
612823.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74770501001506488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
31.030.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End5.5
red by 3.8
5072
#14
27.20.2
27.427.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Second
6077
#36
21.80.6
22.321.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 2.9
4835
#11
24.70.2
24.925.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Third
6005
#24
18.80.6
19.318.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.6
6128
#30
23.30.2
22.422.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed