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Red158
3339.3
6739.2
400325.2
Blue104
377323.7
566222.9
330210.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246350100150158104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
39.30.3
36.336.6
Auto7.5
Teleop25.2
End6.6
red by 15.6
3773
#14
23.70.3
23.223.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Second
67
#1
39.20.3
36.236.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.8
End11.0
red by 16.3
5662
#11
22.90.3
22.422.7
Auto2.2
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
4003
#29
25.20.3
22.222.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
red by 14.9
3302
#32
10.20.3
9.810.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End3.7