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Red37
125024.5
481022.6
309817.3
Blue10
568822.3
473713.2
24523.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636210203040507080903710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#19
24.52.6
21.018.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
red by 0.8
245
#17
23.75.6
26.721.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End4.0
Second
22.62.6
17.915.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
red by 0.3
5688
#26
22.35.6
17.311.7
Auto1.0
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Third
3098
#38
17.32.6
21.719.1
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End3.3
red by 4.1
4737
#33
13.25.6
16.711.1
Auto1.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed