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Red84
20127.7
125024.5
377323.7
Blue96
102334.4
365529.0
6739.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47880204060801001201408496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
27.73.0
18.921.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End2.8
blue by 11.5
67
#1
39.21.8
30.232.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.8
End11.0
Second
1250
#19
24.53.0
18.321.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
blue by 9.9
34.41.8
35.237.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End6.4
Third
3773
#14
23.73.0
15.018.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
blue by 5.3
29.01.8
14.316.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed