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Red35
309817.3
543619.1
526319.5
Blue42
586024.9
565016.3
481022.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68510204060801001203542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5263
#20
19.53.7
17.513.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 5.5
5860
#12
24.912.6
27.114.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
5436
#22
19.13.7
20.216.6
Auto1.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
blue by 3.5
22.61.1
19.017.9
Auto2.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Third
3098
#38
17.33.7
25.421.7
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End3.3
red by 1.0
5650
#21
16.31.1
17.416.3
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed