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Red67
565016.3
5126.5
365529.0
Blue61
611722.5
568822.3
615212.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55330204060801006761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.3
16.117.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
red by 6.5
6117
#27
22.52.9
13.716.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.6
End5.0
Second
51
#10
26.51.3
20.521.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 4.3
5688
#26
22.32.9
10.813.7
Auto1.0
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Third
5650
#21
16.31.3
13.414.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End3.1
red by 4.3
6152
#37
12.12.9
10.713.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned20%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed