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Red25
57089.4
54679.8
267615.7
Blue39
473713.2
31313.3
543619.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353702060802539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2676
#39
15.71.5
15.714.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.0
End3.6
blue by 3.3
5436
#22
19.10.4
14.815.3
Auto1.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Second
5467
#28
9.81.5
10.69.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End1.0
blue by 3.5
313
#31
13.30.4
9.19.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End-0.4
Third
5708
#30
9.41.5
7.66.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 3.8
4737
#33
13.20.4
11.311.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed