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Red60
20127.7
543619.1
267615.7
Blue65
118922.0
568822.3
526319.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555110203040607080906065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
27.70.8
23.524.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 5.4
5688
#26
22.31.6
14.616.2
Auto1.0
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Second
5436
#22
19.10.8
15.316.0
Auto1.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
blue by 2.9
1189
#34
22.01.6
23.324.9
Auto2.4
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
2676
#39
15.70.8
14.215.0
Auto2.2
Teleop10.0
End3.6
blue by 3.7
5263
#20
19.51.6
12.514.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed