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Red72
118922.0
586024.9
509023.4
Blue83
365529.0
213732.7
377323.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170506080901007283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#12
24.90.3
21.321.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 7.7
32.71.6
29.330.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.8
End4.2
Second
5090
#24
23.40.3
23.023.3
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 5.6
29.01.6
16.718.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Third
1189
#34
22.00.3
24.925.2
Auto2.4
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 1.7
3773
#14
23.71.6
22.324.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed