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Red76
400325.2
171829.1
571118.7
Blue67
566222.9
568822.3
20127.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67673040506080901001107667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.1
25.126.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 1.4
201
#18
27.70.2
27.427.6
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
4003
#29
25.21.1
24.425.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
red by 2.3
5662
#11
22.90.2
19.820.0
Auto2.2
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
5711
#35
18.71.1
15.316.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 3.6
5688
#26
22.30.2
18.018.1
Auto1.0
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed