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Red66
477923.6
31313.3
24523.7
Blue83
528222.2
6739.2
566222.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001201406683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#17
23.71.2
21.222.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End4.0
blue by 15.5
67
#1
39.20.9
32.733.6
Auto6.4
Teleop21.8
End11.0
Second
4779
#25
23.61.2
19.921.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
red by 0.7
5662
#11
22.90.9
20.020.9
Auto2.2
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
313
#31
13.31.2
11.512.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End-0.4
blue by 9.0
5282
#16
22.20.9
20.621.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed