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Red75
568822.3
477923.6
571118.7
Blue80
586024.9
31313.3
365529.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58652040801001201407580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#25
23.61.4
21.122.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
blue by 5.5
29.01.5
26.027.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Second
5688
#26
22.31.4
19.220.6
Auto1.0
Teleop16.5
End4.8
blue by 2.7
5860
#12
24.91.5
23.124.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Third
5711
#35
18.71.4
17.318.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 5.4
313
#31
13.31.5
12.714.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed