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Red163
3339.3
6739.2
400325.2
Blue97
20127.7
366726.4
477923.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125845010015020016397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
39.30.3
37.838.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.2
End6.6
red by 11.6
201
#18
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
67
#1
39.20.3
37.738.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.8
End11.0
red by 12.8
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
Third
4003
#29
25.20.3
23.724.0
Auto8.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
red by 1.6
4779
#25
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0