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Red112
171829.1
213732.7
24523.7
Blue118
102334.4
365529.0
504826.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071106080100120140160180112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
32.832.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.8
End4.2
blue by 1.7
34.40.1
34.334.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End6.4
Second
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 0.1
29.00.1
28.628.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Third
245
#17
23.70.1
23.823.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End4.0
blue by 2.3
5048
#15
26.00.1
25.525.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End2.2