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Red64
150633.9
495624.7
525515.1
Blue85
191843.3
592717.9
21624.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73832040601001201406485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.6
28.928.3
Auto13.0
Teleop16.5
End4.3
blue by 9.5
43.30.4
43.944.2
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
Second
4956
#35
24.70.6
29.328.7
Auto6.6
Teleop13.7
End4.4
red by 0.6
216
#17
24.10.4
21.922.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.2
Third
5255
#41
15.10.6
14.313.8
Auto1.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 2.8
5927
#36
17.90.6
13.714.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed