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Red79
567532.8
400334.9
433722.9
Blue75
517318.1
516124.7
524628.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78512040601001207975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#12
34.90.5
25.225.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 6.5
5246
#19
28.42.3
17.519.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
5675
#14
32.80.5
28.629.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 8.1
5161
#15
24.71.4
18.319.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.3
End3.2
Third
4337
#37
22.90.8
17.918.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 4.9
5173
#38
18.11.4
18.119.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed