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Red78
400437.3
28825.9
445322.3
Blue77
525515.1
561030.6
191843.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83740501001502002507877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.1
25.425.3
Auto5.5
Teleop21.6
End10.2
blue by 6.0
43.30.2
40.440.7
Auto12.6
Teleop24.5
End6.2
Second
288
#30
25.90.1
26.025.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 4.7
5610
#20
30.60.2
23.123.3
Auto7.1
Teleop19.4
End4.1
Third
4453
#16
22.30.1
27.927.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End2.8
red by 7.2
5255
#41
15.10.2
9.910.1
Auto1.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed