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Red103
125420.4
14131.0
598037.9
Blue99
516124.7
7430.8
400334.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868670809010011010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.3
36.237.5
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End9.3
red by 3.1
4003
#12
34.91.0
33.134.1
Auto10.0
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Second
141
#11
31.01.3
27.929.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 0.2
74
#22
30.81.0
29.930.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Third
1254
#24
20.41.3
19.420.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 4.4
5161
#15
24.71.0
21.022.0
Auto2.2
Teleop19.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed