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Red108
524628.4
609423.4
611421.4
Blue71
612825.2
517318.1
516224.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676320408010010871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5246
#19
28.43.0
23.726.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 3.2
6128
#27
25.20.8
22.723.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Second
6094
#32
23.42.2
20.122.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End3.7
blue by 1.4
5162
#34
24.90.8
22.223.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Third
6114
#31
21.43.0
20.723.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 3.3
5173
#38
18.10.6
16.817.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed