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Red87
544832.5
354641.4
34589.8
Blue111
400437.3
516124.7
606523.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837720406010012014087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.5
39.139.6
Auto13.3
Teleop21.6
End6.5
red by 4.0
37.31.7
33.234.9
Auto5.5
Teleop21.6
End10.2
Second
32.50.5
30.831.3
Auto12.0
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 7.7
5161
#15
24.71.7
22.023.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.3
End3.2
Third
3458
#40
9.80.7
9.510.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End-0.5
blue by 13.3
6065
#21
23.12.1
20.422.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed