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Red84
7430.8
598037.9
611421.4
Blue95
240527.5
606523.1
567532.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958340601201401608495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.4
37.236.8
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End9.3
red by 5.1
5675
#14
32.80.5
32.733.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Second
74
#22
30.80.4
31.230.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End8.4
red by 3.3
2405
#10
27.50.5
27.027.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
6114
#31
21.40.5
21.921.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 1.6
6065
#21
23.10.6
22.523.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed