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Red120
205439.9
8542.3
495624.7
Blue134
400437.3
598037.9
571026.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412250100150200120134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#1
42.30.2
42.942.7
Auto11.0
Teleop28.1
End3.2
red by 4.4
37.90.3
37.838.1
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End9.3
Second
39.90.2
40.540.3
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
red by 2.5
37.30.3
37.237.5
Auto5.5
Teleop21.6
End10.2
Third
4956
#35
24.70.2
25.325.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.7
End4.4
blue by 1.9
5710
#29
26.60.3
26.526.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8